The fifth round of the FA Cup promises to be an exciting one as Fulham face Leeds United at the Cottage on Tuesday. With a place in the quarter-finals up for grabs in this all-Premier League tie, here’s a preview.
The Whites are unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions, with victories against Nottingham Forest and Brighton, as well as a draw against Chelsea. Meanwhile, Leeds have struggled in the Premier League, this season, and before their win against Southampton on Saturday, hadn’t won a league game since they beat Bournemouth way back in November.
FA Cup results so far
After beating Hull City 2-0 in the third round, Fulham secured a 3-2 victory over Sunderland in their fourth-round replay, setting up this all-Premier League FA Cup tie.
Leeds United played against Cardiff City in the third round, with the match ending in a 2-2 draw. Leeds won the replay 5-2, before beating Accrington Stanley 3-1 in the fourth round. The result meant Leeds progressed to the fifth round for the first time since the 2015/16 season.
Fulham in the FA Cup
Fulham’s FA Cup history is mainly one of lows – as supporters will testify! The Whites have of course reached the final only once, in 1975, when they lost to West Ham. The team has also made it to the semi-finals on three other occasions, in 1908, 1936 and 1958.
Leeds in the FA Cup
Leeds have won the FA Cup, but only once. That was in 1972, when Wembley Stadium hosted the 91st FA Cup final, also known as the centenary final (it was 100 years on from the competition’s creation). Leeds faced reigning champions Arsenal, who had won both the FA Cup and Football League the previous season.
According to data analysed by Sports Mole, based on recent performances and player stats, Fulham are the most likely to win a match, with a 43.19% probability, followed by a Leeds United win with 33.36% and a draw with 23.4%. The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 2-1, with a probability of 8.93%, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. For a Leeds United win, the likeliest scoreline is 1-2, while for a draw, it is 1-1.
Fulham may be the favourites, there there’s always the chance of an upset in the FA Cup, and Leeds will be eyeing an away win to help them take their thoughts off struggles in the league.